Cliff Asness, trained under Nobel laureate Eugene Fama, co-founded AQR Capital around the idea of systematic factor investing — buying baskets of stocks based on measurable, tested characteristics like "cheapness" (value) or recent strength (momentum), rather than picking individual companies by story.
The pain: Between roughly 2018 and 2020, the "value" factor went through one of the worst multi-year stretches in its recorded history, badly underperforming growth stocks. Financial media and even some professional peers openly declared that value investing was permanently broken in the modern market — a painful, public, years-long stretch of being told your entire approach no longer worked.
The lesson: Asness's response wasn't to abandon the strategy the moment it hurt — it was to go back to the data and ask whether the underlying logic had actually broken, or whether this was simply a normal, if unusually painful, drawdown that well-tested strategies go through periodically. He argued (and later data vindicated, as value strategies recovered strongly afterward) that abandoning a well-tested, evidence-based strategy purely because of a difficult stretch — without new evidence the edge itself was gone — is one of the most common and costly mistakes in systematic investing.
The lesson generalizes far beyond factor investing: every real edge, including a good intraday playbook, will have losing stretches. The discipline is knowing the difference between "this specific edge has statistically broken" and "this is just a normal bad patch," and not confusing the two under emotional pressure.
Key Takeaway
Every real, tested edge goes through losing stretches. The skill is distinguishing an edge that has genuinely broken from one that's simply having a rough patch — and not abandoning a good strategy purely out of pain.
Think About It
Have you ever abandoned a strategy after a losing streak, only to watch it work again right after you stopped using it? What told you it was "broken" at the time?
Legend Lab — The Drawdown Diagnosis
Next time one of your strategies hits a losing streak, before abandoning it, check: has anything about the market structure genuinely changed, or is this within the normal range of past drawdowns you've already logged for this strategy? Write down which one it is before deciding.